Trader profile
Historical record
Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
Measured 11 hours ago
This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.
Observed activity
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
Wallet Bond-of-weather: edge −14.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.0%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days); −$8.5K lifetime P&L, $620.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.
