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Trader profile

Spirit-LT

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet35 open · 71% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,586Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.9% / $95% interval −702.1% to +650.2%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.1K
Concentration
23.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
680
Showing the largest 8 of 680
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?
NoValue$539PnL+$166Avg69¢Current99.9¢539.38Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$392PnL+$55Avg12.5¢Current14.5¢2,700Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$213PnL−$42Avg10.2¢Current8.5¢2,507.08Shares
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$133PnL+$119Avg0.2¢Current1.9¢7,189.95Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$123PnL−$40Avg5.5¢Current4.2¢2,963.69Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 25?
YesValue$102PnL−$3Avg14.9¢Current14.5¢699.99Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$99PnL−$79Avg54.8¢Current30.5¢326Shares
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
YesValue$85PnL−$14Avg9.9¢Current8.5¢999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 680 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Spirit-LT: edge −25.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −702.1%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); +$5.1K lifetime P&L, $3.2M traded, updated 2026-09-25.