Last loaded16 hours ago
- Current position value
- $37.7K
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$26.3K
- Concentration
- 54.4% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 22 Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
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Trader profile
bredxiao
DirectionalHistorical record
Profitable historically.
Lifetime PnL+$16.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.2%89 settled · past 90 days4 open · 28% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded67Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−11.6% / $95% interval −27.4% to +4.2%221 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −11.6%n=221 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
Measured 10 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 47.2% · Decided 89 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$1.1Knot settled — Market has not settled yet.
$2.8Knot settled — Market has not settled yet.
$6.9Knot settled — Market has not settled yet.
$5.3Knot settled — Market has not settled yet.
$2.7KAbout this wallet
Wallet bredxiao: 47.2% win rate over 89 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.4%, n=221 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.6% over 221 fills); +$16.3K lifetime P&L, $4.7M traded, updated 2026-09-25.