PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

peoplearestrange

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$171.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45%20 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded84Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−56.3% / $95% interval −572.4% to +459.7%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−51.8%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45% · Decided 20 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$1
Snapshot cash PnL
−$67.9K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1PnL−$0.48Avg39¢Current29.5¢5Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$700Avg43.6¢Current0¢1,605.57Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg57¢Current0¢3,000Shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg2¢Current0¢89,193.27Shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Conor McGregor · NoValue$0PnL−$965Avg31¢Current0¢3,112.48Shares
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team - Game 1 Winner
Nix Team · YesValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg75¢Current0¢4,986.24Shares
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Xtreme Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg43.5¢Current0¢3,904.02Shares
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
PARIVISION · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg50¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet peoplearestrange: 45% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −56.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −572.4%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−51.8% over 21 fills); +$171.9K lifetime P&L, $3.9M traded, updated 2026-09-25.