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Trader profile

cappytrader

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$22.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 23 days ago
Lifetime volume$170K204 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded24Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.7% / $95% interval −22.5% to +43.8%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+10.7%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
ITF M15 Arad Men: Valentin Vanta vs Trisztan Gubi
Trisztan Gubi · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg55¢Current0¢2.22Shares
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Mariana Soares vs Ana Julia Sartori
Mariana Soares · YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg75¢Current0¢15Shares
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Dalila Jakupovic vs Ariana Geerlings
Dalila Jakupovic · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg29.3¢Current0¢11.77Shares
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Bianca Bernardes vs Maria Fernanda Lopes
Bianca Bernardes · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg65¢Current0¢5Shares
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
YesValue$0PnL−$17.2KAvg62.2¢Current0¢27,668.1Shares
ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe vs Marina Bulbarella
Marina Bulbarella · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg23¢Current0¢20Shares
POFC Botev Vratsa vs. PFC Slavia Sofia: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg59.5¢Current0¢2,187.01Shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
Toronto Tempo · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg11.2¢Current0¢11,931.43Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cappytrader: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +10.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −22.5%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.7% over 10 fills); +$22.2K lifetime P&L, $170K traded, updated 2026-09-25.