PolyTrace
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Trader profile

arbioneme

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$24.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.2%1,603 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,765Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.2% / $95% interval −156.5% to +104.0%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.8%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.2% · Decided 1,603 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$113K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
687
Showing the largest 8 of 687
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Bilibili GamingValue$0PnL−$160Avg32¢Current0¢500Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$983Avg28.3¢Current0¢3,466.59Shares
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
FUT Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$210Avg35¢Current0¢600Shares
Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
Mandatory · YesValue$0PnL−$639Avg58.1¢Current0¢1,099.38Shares
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
PuckChamp · YesValue$0PnL−$105Avg21¢Current0¢500Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
G2Value$0PnL−$612Avg34¢Current0¢1,799.99Shares
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
BebopValue$0PnL−$30Avg31.2¢Current0¢97Shares
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
NRG Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg43¢Current0¢20.93Shares
Showing 8 of 687 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet arbioneme: 46.2% win rate over 1,603 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −26.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −156.5%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.8% over 12 fills); −$24.8K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-25.