PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$135KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.4%183 settled · past 90 days10 open · 49% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded754Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.5% / $95% interval −124.0% to +141.0%17 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.4% · Decided 183 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$24.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.4K
Concentration
41.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
77
Showing the largest 8 of 77
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$10.3KPnL+$3.8KAvg50¢Current79.1¢13,000Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$1.1KAvg84.6¢Current96.8¢8,698.51Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.7KPnL−$3.8KAvg50¢Current21¢13,000Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$91Avg67¢Current70.5¢2,599.96Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$675Avg12¢Current7.5¢14,999.98Shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YesValue$217PnL−$130Avg36¢Current22.5¢966.19Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
YesValue$83PnL−$117Avg6.1¢Current2.6¢3,237.81Shares
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
NoValue$27PnL+$3Avg80¢Current91.4¢30Shares
Showing 8 of 77 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762fea…: 57.4% win rate over 183 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −124.0%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days); +$135K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-25.