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Trader profile

hymolu

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$102.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate67.9%53 settled · past 90 days17 open · 1% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded50Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.4% / $95% interval −353.4% to +314.6%94 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−20.2%n=90 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 67.9% · Decided 53 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$326.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$24.6K
Concentration
33.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$108.5KPnL+$8.3KAvg92¢Current99.6¢109,031.95Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$89.4KPnL+$7.6KAvg90.9¢Current99.3¢90,000Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
NoValue$64KPnL+$4.4KAvg85.2¢Current91.5¢69,999.97Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$39.8KPnL+$1KAvg96.9¢Current99.5¢39,999.97Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$23.1KPnL+$3.1KAvg80¢Current92.5¢25,000Shares
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
YesValue$505PnL+$84Avg60.9¢Current73¢692.31Shares
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
NoValue$437PnL+$26Avg83.2¢Current88.5¢493.23Shares
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
NoValue$385PnL+$87Avg70.4¢Current91¢423.29Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hymolu: 67.9% win rate over 53 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −19.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −353.4%, n=94 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−20.2% over 90 fills); +$102.2K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.