PolyTrace
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Trader profile

CamelUp

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$338.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.8%2,971 settled · past 90 days127 open · 50% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,153Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.7% / $95% interval −32.4% to +26.9%380 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−2.5%n=369 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.8% · Decided 2,971 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$23.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$187.6K
Concentration
31.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,531
Showing the largest 8 of 1,531
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on September 23?
Down · NoValue$7.2KPnL+$483Avg92.9¢Current99.6¢7,244.09Shares
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$60Avg91.9¢Current94.9¢1,972.04Shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23?
Down · NoValue$1.7KPnL+$253Avg84.5¢Current99.2¢1,719.54Shares
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of September?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$660Avg78.8¢Current51¢2,370Shares
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 23?
Down · NoValue$1.1KPnL+$323Avg69.9¢Current99¢1,113.98Shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?
YesValue$722PnL+$435Avg25.8¢Current65¢1,110.21Shares
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 in September?
NoValue$716PnL+$48Avg90.9¢Current97.5¢735Shares
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in September?
YesValue$643PnL+$11Avg29¢Current29.5¢2,179.7Shares
Showing 8 of 1,531 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet CamelUp: 54.8% win rate over 2,971 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.4%, n=380 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−2.5% over 369 fills); +$338.8K lifetime P&L, $17.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.