PolyTrace
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Trader profile

controls

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$41.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.3%230 settled · past 90 days37 open · 33% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded875Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.4% / $95% interval −19.8% to +74.6%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+37.2%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.3% · Decided 230 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$28.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$23.3K
Concentration
19.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
124
Showing the largest 8 of 124
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$821Avg73.5¢Current86.5¢6,336.48Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$1.8KAvg25.7¢Current98¢2,453.51Shares
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$262Avg71.9¢Current81.5¢2,712.85Shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$382Avg48.2¢Current60.5¢3,110.38Shares
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$213Avg42.9¢Current49.5¢3,237.86Shares
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$152Avg73.2¢Current82.5¢1,636.88Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$1.7KAvg40.6¢Current17.5¢7,360.61Shares
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$211Avg79.4¢Current97.1¢1,193.62Shares
Showing 8 of 124 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet controls: 61.3% win rate over 230 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +27.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −19.8%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+37.2% over 19 fills); +$41.3K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.