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Trader profile

Valen9

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$261KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.3%242 settled · past 90 days57 open · 49% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$32.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded318Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.7% / $95% interval −146.4% to +129.0%228 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−1.7%n=13 settled
Politics
−15.7%n=197 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.3% · Decided 242 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$450.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2K
Concentration
13.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
58
Showing the largest 8 of 58
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$60.3KPnL+$1.4KAvg84.4¢Current86.5¢69,668.9Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$47.2KPnL+$4.4KAvg83.9¢Current92.5¢50,999.89Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$38.1KPnL+$5.1KAvg85.9¢Current99.1¢38,496.31Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
YesValue$32.2KPnL+$2KAvg65.1¢Current69.5¢46,276.36Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$27.1KPnL+$6.5KAvg49.7¢Current65.5¢41,414.97Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$26.7KPnL+$4.1KAvg81.8¢Current96.9¢27,533.07Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$26.2KPnL+$2.3KAvg84.3¢Current92.5¢28,351.09Shares
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
NoValue$23.9KPnL+$2.2KAvg69.5¢Current76.5¢31,244.96Shares
Showing 8 of 58 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Valen9: 58.3% win rate over 242 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −146.4%, n=228 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−1.7% over 13 fills); +$261K lifetime P&L, $32.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.