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Trader profile

HMLSF

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$463.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.4%856 settled · past 90 days9 open · 98% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$66.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded558Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.4% / $95% interval −10.6% to +11.4%5,360 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.5%n=5,278 settled
Unmapped
−6.2%n=82 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.4% · Decided 856 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$132K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$23.5K
Concentration
21.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox · NoValue$28.1KPnL+$249Avg56¢Current56.5¢49,746.57Shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox · YesValue$25.2KPnL−$216Avg53¢Current52.5¢47,929.39Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$19.7KPnL−$228Avg54.1¢Current53.5¢36,749.46Shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds · YesValue$18.7KPnL−$327Avg29¢Current28.5¢65,456.87Shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays · YesValue$15KPnL−$169Avg45¢Current44.5¢33,818.09Shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates · NoValue$12.7KPnL−$87Avg56.9¢Current56.5¢22,451.06Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$9.2KPnL−$77Avg60¢Current59.5¢15,398.93Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$1.9KPnL−$13.4KAvg40.9¢Current5.1¢37,383.09Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HMLSF: 45.4% win rate over 856 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.6%, n=5,360 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.5% over 5,278 fills); +$463.9K lifetime P&L, $66.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.