PolyTrace
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Trader profile

PolBandit

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate85.2%27 settled · past 90 days10 open · 50% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M912 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded92Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.1% / $95% interval −74.4% to +70.2%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+2.3%n=18 settled
Sports
−6.6%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 85.2% · Decided 27 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$141.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$69K
Concentration
51.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$73.2KPnL+$5.6KAvg85.4¢Current92.5¢79,181.32Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$34.1KPnL+$184Avg92¢Current92.5¢36,849.93Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$16.8KPnL−$343Avg75¢Current73.5¢22,872.55Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$8.2KPnL+$1.8KAvg77.5¢Current99.6¢8,200Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$7.8KPnL+$425Avg80.4¢Current85¢9,152.55Shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$507Avg3.4¢Current5.9¢20,135.74Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$24PnL+$2Avg54.1¢Current57.9¢41.77Shares
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$7PnL−$8.3KAvg61.7¢Current0.1¢13,424.24Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PolBandit: 85.2% win rate over 27 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −74.4%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+2.3% over 18 fills); +$22K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-25.