PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

toireK

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate92.7%8,811 settled · past 180 days17 open · 82% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,407Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−47.8% / $95% interval −478.8% to +383.1%37 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−47.8%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 92.7% · Decided 8,811 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$909
Concentration
22.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$435PnL+$4Avg99¢Current100¢434.9Shares
Over · YesValue$355PnL+$228Avg7.2¢Current20.1¢1,771.09Shares
Over · YesValue$229PnL+$2Avg99¢Current100¢229.4Shares
Under · NoValue$149PnL+$0.68Avg99¢Current99.5¢150Shares
Under · NoValue$149PnL+$0.68Avg99¢Current99.5¢150Shares
Under · NoValue$120PnL−$29Avg99¢Current80¢150Shares
YesValue$119PnL+$29Avg56.5¢Current75¢159.18Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet toireK: 92.7% win rate over 8,811 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −47.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −478.8%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−47.8% over 37 fills); −$9.4K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.