PolyTrace
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Trader profile

flow-trader-at-optiver

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$114.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate17.4%1,491 settled · past 180 days117 open · 24% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$24.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,471Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 17.4% · Decided 1,491 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded5 days ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$3.6K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$92.6K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
9.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
YesValue$337PnL+$337Avg0¢Current62¢542.88Shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$262PnL+$262Avg0¢Current98.8¢265.32Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
NoValue$261PnL−$14Avg96.2¢Current91.1¢286.22Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
NoValue$210PnL−$14Avg87¢Current81.5¢258Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?
NoValue$199PnL+$0.24Avg82¢Current82.1¢242.89Shares
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$196PnL+$45Avg72¢Current93.5¢210Shares
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$152PnL−$31Avg87.1¢Current72.5¢209.96Shares
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
NoValue$144PnL+$6Avg58¢Current60.5¢238.33Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet flow-trader-at-optiver: 17.4% win rate over 1,491 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$114.9K lifetime P&L, $24.8M traded, updated 2026-09-20.