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Trader profile

Anarion

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$22KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…2 open · 97% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded800Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.4% / $95% interval −66.9% to +48.1%76 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.4%n=76 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4K
Concentration
67.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
M25 Sabadell: Leonid Sheyngezikht vs Kuzey Cekirge
Kuzey CekirgeValue$712PnL+$29Avg75.3¢Current78.5¢906.49Shares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$346PnL−$894Avg1.8¢Current0.5¢69,233.69Shares
Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Luca Castagnola
Luca Castagnola · NoValue$0PnL−$205Avg33.3¢Current0¢615.01Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu
Hanlei Lu · NoValue$0PnL−$28Avg1¢Current0¢2,807.33Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
Luca Castelnuovo · YesValue$0PnL−$569Avg40¢Current0¢1,421.5Shares
Korea Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova · NoValue$0PnL−$46Avg9¢Current0¢508.04Shares
Biella: Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini
Matthew William Donald · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg8.4¢Current0¢1,190.17Shares
Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris
Lloyd Harris · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg82¢Current0¢1.22Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Anarion: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −9.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −66.9%, n=76 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.4% over 76 fills); −$22K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.