PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x156b…baa0

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$27.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.7%201 settled · past 90 days19 open · 98% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded593Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.3% / $95% interval −394.3% to +379.7%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.7% · Decided 201 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$8
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7K
Concentration
15.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.56Avg0.6¢Current1.1¢125Shares
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.31Avg0.8¢Current1.1¢125Shares
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.75PnL−$2Avg0.6¢Current0.2¢499.98Shares
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.75PnL−$2Avg0.6¢Current0.2¢499.99Shares
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.75PnL−$2Avg0.6¢Current0.2¢500Shares
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.55PnL−$0.05Avg0.6¢Current0.5¢100Shares
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.25PnL−$3Avg0.6¢Current0.1¢499.99Shares
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$0.25PnL−$3Avg0.6¢Current0.1¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x156bf597c459111570b3fe413a0e9abef081baa0: 57.7% win rate over 201 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −394.3%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$27.3K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-25.