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Trader profile

AmericaFirst1

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$9.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…165 open · 60% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$858.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,667Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.5% / $95% interval −20.4% to +25.4%26 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+3.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$10.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.2K
Concentration
14.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,058
Showing the largest 8 of 1,058
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$343Avg79.4¢Current64.5¢2,299.35Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
YesValue$359PnL+$59Avg83.6¢Current100¢358.84Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$357PnL−$357Avg63¢Current31.5¢1,134.32Shares
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?
NoValue$314PnL+$60Avg75¢Current92.5¢339.84Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$308PnL+$8Avg95¢Current97.6¢315.78Shares
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?
NoValue$274PnL−$137Avg66.8¢Current44.5¢616.13Shares
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$246PnL−$14Avg87.2¢Current82.5¢298.69Shares
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
NoValue$225PnL+$69Avg63.9¢Current92¢244.33Shares
Showing 8 of 1,058 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AmericaFirst1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +2.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −20.4%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.4% over 22 fills); −$9.6K lifetime P&L, $858.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.