PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

JakeHursty

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$221Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.7%485 settled · past 180 days2 open · 11% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$373.7K904 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded660Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.8% / $95% interval −4.5% to +10.1%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.7% · Decided 485 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$639
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.6K
Concentration
85.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
92
Showing the largest 8 of 92
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$544PnL+$44Avg88¢Current95.8¢568.18Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$95PnL−$5Avg66¢Current62.5¢151.52Shares
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-05?
NoValue$0PnL−$30Avg75¢Current0¢40Shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5
UnderValue$0PnL−$33Avg71¢Current0¢46.48Shares
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva · NoValue$0PnL−$25Avg63¢Current0¢39.68Shares
Bastad: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijima
Oleksandra Oliynykova · YesValue$0PnL−$25Avg76.6¢Current0¢32.64Shares
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack Loge
Francesco Forti · YesValue$0PnL−$25Avg72¢Current0¢34.72Shares
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan Manuel La Serna · NoValue$0PnL−$203Avg75.3¢Current0¢269.68Shares
Showing 8 of 92 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JakeHursty: 75.7% win rate over 485 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +2.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.5%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$221 lifetime P&L, $373.7K traded, updated 2026-09-24.