PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x14ca…8f43

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.6%634 settled · past 180 days2 open · 100% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$799K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,559Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.3% / $95% interval −90.2% to +79.7%15 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.3%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.6% · Decided 634 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$55
Snapshot cash PnL
−$110.6K
Concentration
99.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
763
Showing the largest 8 of 763
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Dawn Bulls · NoValue$55PnL−$32Avg78.1¢Current49.5¢111Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
GamerLegion · NoValue$0.43PnL−$0.63Avg21¢Current8.5¢5Shares
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs
NAVI Junior · NoValue$0.09PnL−$36Avg21¢Current0.1¢174Shares
LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports - Game 2 Winner
EXILE esports · NoValue$0PnL−$26Avg5.7¢Current0¢465Shares
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winner
BRUTEValue$0PnL−$94Avg45.9¢Current0¢204Shares
Counter-Strike: Color vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
B8Value$0PnL−$199Avg66.7¢Current0¢298Shares
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
Invictus GamingValue$0PnL−$57Avg29¢Current0¢197Shares
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LNG Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$233Avg29.7¢Current0¢785Shares
Showing 8 of 763 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x14ca946e75d59b8b7ebe21110512f7b885d78f43: 44.6% win rate over 634 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −90.2%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.3% over 15 fills); +$14.6K lifetime P&L, $799K traded, updated 2026-09-24.