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Trader profile

kilian7kilian

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56%25 settled · past 90 days0 open · 24 days ago
Lifetime volume$15.7M297 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded25Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.2% / $95% interval −26.8% to +29.2%94 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.2%n=94 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56% · Decided 25 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$717.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachko
Gauthier Onclin · YesValue$0PnL−$30KAvg43.8¢Current0¢68,425.68Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Legacy · NoValue$0PnL−$8.7KAvg35¢Current0¢24,999.99Shares
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$398.7KAvg68.4¢Current0¢583,051.4Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov
Timofey Skatov · YesValue$0PnL−$10KAvg18.8¢Current0¢53,316.88Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$99.6KAvg48.2¢Current0¢206,634.48Shares
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$719Avg43¢Current0¢1,671.16Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
9z · NoValue$0PnL−$43.3KAvg43.3¢Current0¢99,999.91Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
paiN · NoValue$0PnL−$41.4KAvg22¢Current0¢188,000Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kilian7kilian: 56% win rate over 25 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.8%, n=94 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.2% over 94 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $15.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.