PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

JnStrtPrdctnMrkts

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$156.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate84.9%66 settled · past 90 days15 open · <1% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded131Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.5% / $95% interval −128.5% to +91.5%443 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+1.2%n=11 settled
Crypto
−19.0%n=432 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 84.9% · Decided 66 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$4.2M
Snapshot cash PnL
+$793.4K
Concentration
17%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$717KPnL+$235.2KAvg62.1¢Current92.5¢775,581.38Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$662.3KPnL+$91.1KAvg56.5¢Current65.5¢1,011,089.1Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$645.5KPnL+$266.1KAvg53.5¢Current91¢709,350.82Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$544KPnL+$154.7KAvg66.9¢Current93.5¢581,767.71Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$374.7KPnL+$53.8KAvg77.5¢Current90.5¢414,041.08Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$345.2KPnL+$67.1KAvg76.1¢Current94.5¢365,327.54Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$325.6KPnL+$47.8KAvg70¢Current82¢397,121.08Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$208.1KPnL+$38KAvg70.7¢Current86.5¢240,603.07Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JnStrtPrdctnMrkts: 84.9% win rate over 66 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −18.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.5%, n=443 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−19.0% over 432 fills); +$156.5K lifetime P&L, $14.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.