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Trader profile

SadSquid54333

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.4%101 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 24 hours ago
Lifetime volume$634.5K200 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded117Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.2% / $95% interval −24.1% to +32.4%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.9%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.4% · Decided 101 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded24 hours ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
McNeese · NoValue$1.3KPnL−$12Avg54¢Current53.5¢2,417.7Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$32Avg0.8¢Current4,000Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$25Avg39.7¢Current62.62Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$16Avg0.4¢Current3,917.86Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg0.5¢Current850Shares
Seattle Storm · YesValue$0PnL−$34Avg0.9¢Current4,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$35Avg2.3¢Current1,529.97Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$196Avg2.7¢Current7,260.06Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SadSquid54333: 60.4% win rate over 101 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +4.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.1%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.9% over 20 fills); −$4.4K lifetime P&L, $634.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.