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Trader profile

S2026

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.5%128 settled · past 90 days0 open · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$916.4K367 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded129Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.3% / $95% interval −91.6% to +65.0%52 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+26.5%n=16 settled
Sports
−33.6%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.5% · Decided 128 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete31 minutes ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$73.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
62
Showing the largest 8 of 62
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$407Avg2.5¢Current0¢15,975.86Shares
Team LiquidValue$0PnL−$311Avg31¢Current0¢1,003.23Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$180Avg7¢Current0¢2,571.43Shares
Iron WingValue$0PnL−$1Avg29¢Current0¢5Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$282Avg9¢Current0¢3,133.33Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg21¢Current0¢5,551.95Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$12.5KAvg35¢Current0¢35,716.5Shares
Team Liquid · NoValue$0PnL−$142Avg47¢Current0¢302.13Shares
Showing 8 of 62 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet S2026: 44.5% win rate over 128 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −91.6%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−33.6% over 36 fills); −$14.6K lifetime P&L, $916.4K traded, updated 2026-09-25.