PolyTrace
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Trader profile

fqy2026

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.8%63 settled · past 90 days11 open · 13% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$874.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded109Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.2% / $95% interval −175.3% to +154.9%72 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.8%n=11 settled
Sports
−6.6%n=54 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.8% · Decided 63 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$12.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.9K
Concentration
38%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$2.2KAvg35.4¢Current67.5¢6,861.98Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.9KPnL−$172Avg61.2¢Current58.6¢6,586.97Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$2KPnL−$104Avg33.2¢Current31.5¢6,241.49Shares
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$29Avg88.7¢Current91.1¢1,186.53Shares
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
YesValue$420PnL−$49Avg16.2¢Current14.5¢2,896.17Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$107PnL−$0.39Avg34.6¢Current34.5¢310.24Shares
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
YesValue$104PnL−$1Avg49¢Current48.5¢214.37Shares
US x China Military clash before 2027?
NoValue$10PnL+$0.14Avg95.9¢Current97.3¢10Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet fqy2026: 50.8% win rate over 63 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −175.3%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.8% over 11 fills); +$24.4K lifetime P&L, $874.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.