PolyTrace
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Trader profile

what-the-dog-doin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$41.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.5%1,191 settled · past 90 days3 open · 100% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded947Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.9% / $95% interval −52.9% to +31.2%227 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.8%n=192 settled
Unmapped
−28.6%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.5% · Decided 1,191 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$4
Snapshot cash PnL
−$204.5K
Concentration
41.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
95
Showing the largest 8 of 95
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
Team Nemesis · NoValue$2PnL−$1.3KAvg39.7¢Current0.1¢3,191.77Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · YesValue$1PnL−$1.3KAvg44.2¢Current0.1¢2,926.73Shares
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · YesValue$0.81PnL−$455Avg28.3¢Current0.1¢1,610.62Shares
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
Kalmychata · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg67.4¢Current0¢1,573.2Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg66¢Current0¢2,028.52Shares
LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner
MeavedronValue$0PnL−$722Avg58.5¢Current0¢1,233.71Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg59.9¢Current0¢6,173.58Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg54¢Current0¢3,284.44Shares
Showing 8 of 95 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet what-the-dog-doin: 55.5% win rate over 1,191 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −52.9%, n=227 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.8% over 192 fills); +$41.4K lifetime P&L, $6.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.