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Trader profile

laureman

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet29 open · 18% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded84Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.2% / $95% interval −388.3% to +341.9%43 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−18.2%n=20 settled
Politics
−18.6%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$94.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$916
Concentration
22.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$21.4KPnL+$415Avg83.8¢Current85.5¢24,999.62Shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
NoValue$17.6KPnL−$48Avg95.8¢Current95.6¢18,404.43Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$10KPnL+$47Avg95.7¢Current96.2¢10,449.37Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$8.6KPnL+$17Avg89.3¢Current89.5¢9,595.85Shares
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
NoValue$7.6KPnL+$51Avg98¢Current98.7¢7,661.79Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
YesValue$6.6KPnL+$216Avg94.3¢Current97.5¢6,801.18Shares
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?
YesValue$4KPnL+$95Avg96.6¢Current99¢4,049.32Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$3.3KPnL−$153Avg66.5¢Current63.5¢5,147.27Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet laureman: edge −23.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −388.3%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−18.2% over 20 fills); +$7K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.