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Trader profile

Bertapotamous

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$264KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73%389 settled · past 90 days20 open · 14% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$28.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,102Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.1% / $95% interval −253.3% to +225.0%233 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+30.3%n=72 settled
Culture
−27.7%n=25 settled
Politics
−33.8%n=128 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73% · Decided 389 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$239.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32.2K
Concentration
61.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$147.3KPnL+$29.9KAvg79.3¢Current99.5¢148,155.81Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$34KPnL+$3.9KAvg76.6¢Current86.5¢39,302.92Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$21.9KPnL−$3.2KAvg67.8¢Current59.2¢36,913.01Shares
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$12.3KPnL+$440Avg95.8¢Current99.4¢12,335.78Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$9.1KPnL+$4.3KAvg41.4¢Current79.5¢11,384.13Shares
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.7KPnL+$246Avg92¢Current95.5¢7,022.47Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$372Avg78¢Current93.5¢2,400Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$2.8KAvg17.5¢Current6.5¢25,695.02Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bertapotamous: 73% win rate over 389 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −253.3%, n=233 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+30.3% over 72 fills); +$264K lifetime P&L, $28.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.