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Trader profile

melon64

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$398.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 94% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded143Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.7% / $95% interval −39.8% to +4.4%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.7%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$3.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$554.2K
Concentration
59.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
ArmyValue$2.2KPnL−$19Avg56¢Current55.5¢3,874.34Shares
Navy · YesValue$1.2KPnL−$12Avg52¢Current51.5¢2,300Shares
Navy · YesValue$239PnL+$2Avg70¢Current70.5¢338.9Shares
ArmyValue$50PnL+$0.42Avg59¢Current59.5¢83.75Shares
Celtics · YesValue$0PnL−$43.3KAvg51¢Current0¢84,999.89Shares
Arizona WildcatsValue$0PnL−$555Avg74¢Current0¢750Shares
Dallas Wings · YesValue$0PnL−$4.7KAvg55¢Current0¢8,591.87Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$21.6KAvg78¢Current0¢27,686.14Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet melon64: edge −17.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −39.8%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.7% over 19 fills); −$398.5K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-25.