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Trader profile

olegio

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$27.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.9%633 settled · past 180 days0 open · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded828Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.0% / $95% interval −112.0% to +78.0%237 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.0%n=237 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.9% · Decided 633 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$376.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
93
Showing the largest 8 of 93
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic
Dino Prizmic · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg38.2¢Current0¢4,077.42Shares
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
KT Rolster · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg51¢Current0¢4,000.46Shares
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24?
NoValue$0PnL−$428Avg35¢Current0¢1,221.5Shares
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?
NoValue$0PnL−$14.4KAvg30.9¢Current0¢46,507.97Shares
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?
NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg20¢Current0¢10Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg38¢Current0¢2,679Shares
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-23?
NoValue$0PnL−$176Avg49¢Current0¢358.97Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Maks Kasnikowski · YesValue$0PnL−$112Avg36¢Current0¢309.75Shares
Showing 8 of 93 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet olegio: 40.9% win rate over 633 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −17.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −112.0%, n=237 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.0% over 237 fills); +$27.7K lifetime P&L, $18.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.