PolyTrace
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Trader profile

classified

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$899.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate78.4%97 settled · past 90 days32 open · 49% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$91.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded155Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.2% / $95% interval −70.9% to +42.5%342 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.7%n=97 settled
Finance
−19.4%n=237 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 78.4% · Decided 97 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$255.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.8K
Concentration
48%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$122.6KPnL+$47.6KAvg50¢Current81.8¢150,000Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$70.8KPnL+$17.4KAvg64.1¢Current85¢83,394.1Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$27.4KPnL−$47.6KAvg50¢Current18.3¢150,000Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$13.2KPnL+$423Avg95.2¢Current98.4¢13,423.2Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
YesValue$11.1KPnL−$13.1KAvg31.6¢Current14.5¢76,615.18Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$80Avg84¢Current86.5¢3,200.01Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$39Avg96.2¢Current99.4¢1,224.11Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$285Avg47.3¢Current62.5¢1,879.93Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet classified: 78.4% win rate over 97 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −70.9%, n=342 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.7% over 97 fills); +$899.8K lifetime P&L, $91.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.