Trader profile

SHILLWALTON

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-23

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate38.5%26 settled · past 180 days10 open · 17% underwater · 2 days ago

Lifetime volume$72.4K58 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded36Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.5% · Decided 26 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $2K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$3.1K
Concentration: 75%
Positions: 19

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NoValue$1.5KPnL+$975Avg27.6¢Current76.5¢1,994.05Shares

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

NoValue$293PnL+$193Avg32¢Current93.9¢312.5Shares

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$119PnL+$69Avg0.9¢Current2.2¢5,555.56Shares

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$19PnL−$81Avg0.8¢Current0.2¢12,500Shares

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

YesValue$18PnL−$12Avg11¢Current6.5¢272.73Shares

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$18PnL−$33Avg1¢Current0.4¢5,000Shares

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$16PnL−$34Avg2.2¢Current0.7¢2,272.73Shares

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YesValue$16PnL−$34Avg1.6¢Current0.5¢3,125Shares

Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet SHILLWALTON: 38.5% win rate over 26 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$2.4K lifetime P&L, $72.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.