PolyTrace
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Trader profile

deadeven

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.6%31 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$497.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded634Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.1% / $95% interval −116.4% to +108.2%46 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.9%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.6% · Decided 31 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg4¢Current0¢268.01Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.56Avg7¢Current0¢8Shares
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg2¢Current0¢205.29Shares
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg5¢Current0¢205.29Shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg38.9¢Current0¢5,592.42Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$81Avg35.1¢Current0¢231.42Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev · NoValue$0PnL−$71Avg2.3¢Current0¢3,118.61Shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg12¢Current0¢166.67Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet deadeven: 51.6% win rate over 31 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −116.4%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.9% over 44 fills); −$10.2K lifetime P&L, $497.7K traded, updated 2026-09-25.