PolyTrace
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Trader profile

EnergyGeek

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$199Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.6%96 settled · past 180 days7 open · 44% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$230K236 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded108Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.5% / $95% interval −356.8% to +327.8%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.6% · Decided 96 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$2.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.7K
Concentration
49.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$1.2KAvg0¢Current15.1¢8,059.5Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$606PnL+$306Avg28.3¢Current57.2¢1,060.07Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$515PnL+$15Avg84¢Current86.5¢595.24Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$66PnL−$534Avg58.9¢Current6.5¢1,019.06Shares
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$30PnL−$174Avg4.1¢Current0.6¢4,924.57Shares
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$19PnL−$181Avg12¢Current1.2¢1,666.67Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YesValue$7PnL−$304Avg26.2¢Current0.5¢1,181.82Shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg33¢Current0¢909.09Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet EnergyGeek: 64.6% win rate over 96 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −14.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −356.8%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 12 fills); +$199 lifetime P&L, $230K traded, updated 2026-09-24.