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Trader profile

picklemath

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.3%215 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$235.5K633 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded175Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.0% / $95% interval −164.6% to +106.6%70 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−29.0%n=70 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.3% · Decided 215 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally
Linda Noskova · YesValue$0PnL−$25Avg80¢Current0¢31.3Shares
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet
Kyrian Jacquet · NoValue$0PnL−$19Avg49¢Current0¢39.36Shares
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer
Pablo Carreno Busta · YesValue$0PnL−$373Avg90.7¢Current0¢411.39Shares
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard
Damir Dzumhur · YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg56.5¢Current0¢31.28Shares
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka
Alexander Donski · YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢35.35Shares
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Kerem Yilmaz
Kerem Yilmaz · NoValue$0PnL−$7Avg56¢Current0¢12.46Shares
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue · NoValue$0PnL−$6Avg62.7¢Current0¢10Shares
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkova
Clara Tauson · YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg53.8¢Current0¢21.66Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet picklemath: 49.3% win rate over 215 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −29.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −164.6%, n=70 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−29.0% over 70 fills); +$2K lifetime P&L, $235.5K traded, updated 2026-09-21.