PolyTrace
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Trader profile

austr

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$12.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$833.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded841Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.1% / $95% interval −351.5% to +313.3%96 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−4.3%n=10 settled
Sports
−19.1%n=85 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$45.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
248
Showing the largest 8 of 248
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg49.6¢Current0¢504.46Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$247Avg50.8¢Current0¢485.88Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg62.5¢Current0¢399.95Shares
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia
Stefano Travaglia · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg29.3¢Current0¢3.55Shares
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
Team Secret · YesValue$0PnL−$129Avg25¢Current0¢517.32Shares
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$146Avg35¢Current0¢416.51Shares
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
regain · YesValue$0PnL−$165Avg19.7¢Current0¢839.32Shares
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg4.9¢Current0¢21.54Shares
Showing 8 of 248 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet austr: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −19.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −351.5%, n=96 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−4.3% over 10 fills); −$12.9K lifetime P&L, $833.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.