PolyTrace
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Trader profile

NeH

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$79.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%40 settled · past 180 days9 open · 8% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded163Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.7% / $95% interval −88.8% to +63.4%19 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 40 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$320K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$23.9K
Concentration
35.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$113.6KPnL+$9.5KAvg88.5¢Current96.6¢117,664.45Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$47.7KPnL−$323Avg89.1¢Current88.5¢53,897.21Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
NoValue$46.6KPnL+$10.6KAvg70.3¢Current91¢51,224.93Shares
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
NoValue$46.5KPnL+$2.8KAvg87.5¢Current93¢50,000.09Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$27.6KPnL+$2.2KAvg88¢Current95.5¢28,887.54Shares
NATO article 5 before 2027?
NoValue$22.1KPnL+$912Avg88.9¢Current92.7¢23,821.27Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.5KPnL−$2KAvg80¢Current69.5¢19,355.85Shares
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$311Avg2¢Current2.7¢47,859.24Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NeH: 62.5% win rate over 40 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −88.8%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days); −$79.8K lifetime P&L, $8M traded, updated 2026-09-25.