PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

johnnyA

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$21.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…34 open · 29% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded781Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.6% / $95% interval −534.4% to +499.3%50 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−15.5%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$21.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.1K
Concentration
26.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
40
Showing the largest 8 of 40
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$250Avg94.9¢Current99.4¢5,614.45Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$237Avg84.8¢Current92.5¢3,087.8Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL−$26Avg89.7¢Current88.5¢2,250Shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$104Avg90.7¢Current97¢1,659.48Shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$84Avg91.6¢Current97.6¢1,400Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$32Avg90¢Current92.5¢1,293.95Shares
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$99Avg86.9¢Current96.2¢1,065.53Shares
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
NoValue$982PnL+$209Avg71.3¢Current90.5¢1,085.14Shares
Showing 8 of 40 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet johnnyA: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −17.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −534.4%, n=50 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−15.5% over 46 fills); +$21.7K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.