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Trader profile

orange.juice

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$31.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49%312 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded192Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.4% / $95% interval −122.5% to +113.7%164 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.4%n=164 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49% · Decided 312 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$73.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
70
Showing the largest 8 of 70
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$8.6KAvg59.5¢Current0¢14,489.76Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg31.7¢Current0¢8,862Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$954Avg44.6¢Current0¢2,140Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$593Avg37¢Current0¢1,604Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$130Avg30¢Current0¢433Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$33Avg2.6¢Current0¢1,256Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg25.4¢Current0¢15,801.01Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg1¢Current0¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet orange.juice: 49% win rate over 312 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −122.5%, n=164 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.4% over 164 fills); +$31.8K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-21.