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Trader profile

Topman1031

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$326Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.9%43 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$404K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded90Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.0% / $95% interval −755.8% to +709.9%12 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−23.0%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 39 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.9% · Decided 43 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$694
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$537Avg23.7¢Current50.5¢2,002.92Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.03Avg29¢Current0¢0.11Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg0.5¢Current0¢1,924.66Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$102Avg17¢Current0¢601.72Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg1.1¢Current0¢631.22Shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$21Avg0.4¢Current0¢5,262.05Shares
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)
ArgentinaValue$0PnL−$3Avg0.5¢Current0¢673.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg3.2¢Current0¢735.48Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Topman1031: 34.9% win rate over 43 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −755.8%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−23.0% over 12 fills); +$326 lifetime P&L, $404K traded, updated 2026-09-25.