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Trader profile

CedarDuck

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33.4%335 settled · past 180 days3 open · 0% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$101.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded797Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 33.4% · Decided 335 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$29
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.2K
Concentration
38.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
269
Showing the largest 8 of 269
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?
YesValue$11PnL+$1Avg91¢Current100¢11.12Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?
YesValue$10PnL+$0.40Avg96¢Current100¢10Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?
NoValue$6PnL+$0.23Avg96¢Current100¢5.76Shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 8?
YesValue$0.93PnL+$0.02Avg98¢Current100¢0.93Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?
YesValue$0.86PnL+$0.03Avg96¢Current100¢0.86Shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.75Avg2¢Current0¢37.65Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?
YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg11.6¢Current0¢77.33Shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 7?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg2¢Current0¢50.28Shares
Showing 8 of 269 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet CedarDuck: 33.4% win rate over 335 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$4.7K lifetime P&L, $101.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.