PolyTrace
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Trader profile

gods-eye

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$15.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.3%33 settled · past 180 days15 open · 100% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$436.4K697 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded71Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+81.7% / $95% interval −279.3% to +442.7%13 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+81.7%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.3% · Decided 33 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$3.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.5K
Concentration
26.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
YesValue$1KPnL−$284Avg13.3¢Current10.5¢9,859.25Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YesValue$483PnL−$149Avg13.7¢Current10.5¢4,600Shares
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$456PnL−$690Avg11.3¢Current4.5¢10,132.87Shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?
YesValue$386PnL−$93Avg5.8¢Current4.7¢8,300Shares
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$378PnL−$114Avg5.1¢Current3.9¢9,699.99Shares
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
YesValue$264PnL−$297Avg3.3¢Current1.6¢17,063.43Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$196PnL−$133Avg24.3¢Current14.5¢1,350Shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$179PnL−$397Avg11.1¢Current3.5¢5,200Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gods-eye: 30.3% win rate over 33 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +81.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −279.3%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+81.7% over 13 fills); +$15.8K lifetime P&L, $436.4K traded, updated 2026-09-25.