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Trader profile

aapang

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate17.6%13,889 settled · past 180 days10 open · 41% underwater · 46 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$10M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,526Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.4% / $95% interval −27.1% to +12.2%18 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.3%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 17.6% · Decided 13,889 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Complete46 minutes ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$10.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$698.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
99.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$10KPnL+$9.5KAvgCurrent100¢10,000Shares
YesValue$20PnL−$480AvgCurrent0.2¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$5PnL−$495AvgCurrent0.1¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet aapang: 17.6% win rate over 13,889 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.1%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.3% over 12 fills); −$5.5K lifetime P&L, $10M traded, updated 2026-09-24.