PolyTrace
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Trader profile

equalsignificance

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$131.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57%172 settled · past 90 days7 open · 14% underwater · 2 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded192Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.4% / $95% interval +0.9% to +23.9%282 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+36.6%n=27 settled
Sports
+8.0%n=255 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57% · Decided 172 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete2 minutes ago
Current position value
$27.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$266.8K
Concentration
93.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
69
Showing the largest 8 of 69
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$25.3KPnL+$8.2KAvg67.6¢Current100¢25,311.07Shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$215Avg13.3¢Current15.5¢9,878.56Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$233PnL+$2Avg68¢Current68.5¢340Shares
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
NoValue$96PnL+$0.59Avg81¢Current81.5¢117.21Shares
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · YesValue$15PnL−$1.3KAvg27¢Current0.3¢5,000Shares
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?
YesValue$6PnL+$0.94Avg4¢Current4.8¢125.27Shares
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
YesValue$4PnL+$1Avg1.5¢Current2.2¢183.15Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$8.3KAvg55.7¢Current0¢14,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 69 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet equalsignificance: 57% win rate over 172 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +0.9%, n=282 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.0% over 255 fills); +$131.3K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.