PolyTrace
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Trader profile

CentralCasting

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$450.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.1%105 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded98Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+32.9% / $95% interval +27.6% to +38.1%94 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+39.4%n=75 settled
Crypto
+1.0%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.1% · Decided 105 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$100.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg37¢Current0¢10,053.76Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$263Avg40.8¢Current0¢644.53Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg31.9¢Current0¢11,940.49Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg41¢Current0¢4,266.61Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$12.7KAvg32.8¢Current0¢38,820.76Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg42¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg29¢Current0¢6Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg42.1¢Current0¢8,857.98Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet CentralCasting: 58.1% win rate over 105 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +32.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +27.6%, n=94 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+39.4% over 75 fills); +$450.3K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.