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Trader profile

mads1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$26KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate60.4%8,042 settled · past 180 days17 open · 66% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,801Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.0% / $95% interval −31.2% to +29.3%136 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.0%n=136 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 60.4% · Decided 8,042 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$153
Snapshot cash PnL
−$93.7K
Concentration
27.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,454
Showing the largest 8 of 1,454
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$42PnL−$4Avg95¢Current86¢49.26Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.98Avg87¢Current91.5¢21.86Shares
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?
YesValue$18PnL−$4Avg38.4¢Current31.5¢55.84Shares
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score
NoValue$11PnL+$3Avg32¢Current44.5¢25.75Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$10PnL−$0.25Avg97.4¢Current95.1¢10.83Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$8PnL−$0.79Avg94.7¢Current86.3¢9.3Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$8PnL−$0.56Avg91¢Current85.1¢9.42Shares
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
NoValue$7PnL−$0.55Avg95.9¢Current89.1¢8.11Shares
Showing 8 of 1,454 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mads1: 60.4% win rate over 8,042 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −1.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −31.2%, n=136 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.0% over 136 fills); −$26K lifetime P&L, $5.1M traded, updated 2026-09-21.