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Trader profile

Elonurmom

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate16.2%353 settled · past 90 days42 open · 33% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,619Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+42.7% / $95% interval −164.1% to +249.6%75 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+42.8%n=74 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 16.2% · Decided 353 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$8.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$188.6K
Concentration
33%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,074
Showing the largest 8 of 1,074
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$2.5KAvg3.5¢Current39.5¢6,958.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$1.5KAvg3.5¢Current24.5¢6,958.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg3.5¢Current18.9¢6,958.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$623PnL+$383Avg3.5¢Current9¢6,958.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$383PnL+$143Avg3.5¢Current5.5¢6,958.96Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$278PnL+$234Avg3.4¢Current21.5¢1,294.81Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$265PnL+$221Avg3.4¢Current20.5¢1,294.81Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$220PnL+$176Avg3.4¢Current17¢1,294.81Shares
Showing 8 of 1,074 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Elonurmom: 16.2% win rate over 353 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +42.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −164.1%, n=75 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+42.8% over 74 fills); +$1.2K lifetime P&L, $7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.