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Trader profile

totoro3miyazaki

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70%20 settled · past 90 days0 open · 11 days ago
Lifetime volume$19.2M587 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded20Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+24.6% / $95% interval +15.0% to +34.3%377 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+24.5%n=376 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70% · Decided 20 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.5M
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Alex Michelsen · NoValue$0PnL−$495.6KAvg41.9¢Current1,183,135.28Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$478.1KAvg72.4¢Current660,658.31Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$38.3KAvg58¢Current65,941.15Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$957.4KAvg57¢Current1,680,342.54Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$347.5KAvg44.5¢Current780,109Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$232.7KAvg17¢Current1,370,877.45Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet totoro3miyazaki: 70% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +24.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +15.0%, n=377 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+24.5% over 376 fills); +$2.3M lifetime P&L, $19.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.