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Trader profile

Hans323

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$92.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.5%1,030 settled · past 180 days31 open · 12% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,617Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.0% / $95% interval −43.7% to +35.7%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.5% · Decided 1,030 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$18K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3.6K
Concentration
21.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$3.9KPnL+$1.4KAvg8.6¢Current13.4¢29,426.48Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$3KPnL+$840Avg41.9¢Current58.2¢5,159.41Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$520Avg14¢Current18.3¢12,274.58Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$132Avg28¢Current31.5¢3,763.94Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$410Avg38¢Current58.5¢2,000Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$705PnL+$194Avg51.1¢Current70.5¢1,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$688PnL+$120Avg60.2¢Current73¢943.05Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$547PnL+$124Avg48.4¢Current62.5¢875.72Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

SELLYES
Draw (AEK vs. OFI) · 99.9¢
AEK vs. OFIOpen market →
no result
$11.3K
SELLYES
Draw (AEK vs. OFI) · 99.9¢
AEK vs. OFIOpen market →
no result
$8.7K

About this wallet

Wallet Hans323: 55.5% win rate over 1,030 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −43.7%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); +$92.6K lifetime P&L, $11.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.