PolyTrace
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Trader profile

SchruteBucks

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$32.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.6%880 settled · past 180 days13 open · 31% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,349Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.2% / $95% interval −57.9% to +41.6%772 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=772 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.6% · Decided 880 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.2K
Concentration
85.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
550
Showing the largest 8 of 550
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon
Pol Martin Tiffon · NoValue$1.7KPnL+$135Avg89¢Current96.5¢1,800Shares
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
YesValue$114PnL+$10Avg59¢Current64.5¢176.58Shares
Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
NoValue$75PnL−$1Avg38¢Current37.5¢200Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$46PnL−$28Avg24.6¢Current15.4¢299.99Shares
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet
Kyrian Jacquet · NoValue$38PnL+$17Avg55.6¢Current100¢37.65Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YesValue$12PnL−$30Avg14¢Current4.1¢300Shares
St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur
Murphy Cassone · YesValue$8PnL+$0.08Avg51¢Current51.5¢15.06Shares
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Mirra Andreeva · YesValue$2PnL+$0.15Avg91¢Current98.8¢1.91Shares
Showing 8 of 550 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SchruteBucks: 58.6% win rate over 880 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −57.9%, n=772 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 772 fills); +$32.6K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.